Economic news and analysis

For the Belgian economy, we project annual GDP growth of 0.8% this year and 1.1% next year. This is according to our latest nowcast, developed in collaboration with Ghent University.

China Shock 1.0—the ‘first China shock’ (2000–2007)—stemmed from China’s structural overproduction. A flood of low-cost imports boosted global purchasing power but eliminated nearly a million US manufacturing jobs. Yet for Western economies, the net effect remained positive. Will China Shock 2.0 follow the same pattern?

At the start of summer, a record 48 teams headed to the Americas with dreams of lifting the football World Cup trophy. Billions of viewers tune in to the same spectacle, while FIFA studies point to billions in extra revenue and hundreds of thousands of jobs created.

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, combined with the economic and political context in the United States, is influencing the euro-dollar exchange rate.

AI native companies generate more value per worker and manage capital more efficiently. 

An analysis of AI’s impact on productivity, the risks of mounting debt, and the surprising contradictions in commodities markets.