Mobility in 2025

Arval is part of the Commercial, Personal Banking & Services division of the BNP Paribas Group. As the market leader, it plays a key role in offering full-service car leasing and new mobility solutions. Laurent Mélignon, Corporate Sales Director of Arval, is thus ideally placed to share his thoughts on what's in store for Arval in 2025.

Arval is the market leader in a sector in flux: how companies and private individuals see and approach mobility has changed significantly. Mélignon sees several reasons for this: "In our country, taxation is the primary driver of many change processes. This taxation is linked to wage costs: many companies see company cars as a tax-friendly alternative for maximising the remuneration they want to pay their staff. Employees, meanwhile, see company cars as a way to be compensated with tangible benefits, without the tax authorities targeting them. In the coming year, the tax framework will continue to evolve in line with this social evolution. The federal mobility budget and the bicycle allowance, for example, or options such as the cafeteria plan or the flex income plan: these are just some of the ways in which companies can use their salary package to motivate their workers."

But Arval's Corporate Sales Director sees even more drivers of change for mobility. Mélignon: "Our entire mobility culture is also changing, a trend that is set to continue in 2025. The younger generation is much less attached to the status that company cars have been associated with for so many years. They are just as happy to hop on a bicycle, take the bus or use car sharing, depending on the company's location, of course. Finally, there are also several macroeconomic factors driving this change. These include the growing traffic crisis many cities are facing, as well as the increasing awareness of people and economic players regarding the energy transition. We are all gradually seeing the need for change and alternative mobility choices. This has been clear for quite some time."

Flexible complexity

The mobility mix will only become stronger in the future. Mélignon: "That is a big part of our mission: to be and remain a one-stop shop, offering companies the opportunity to think in terms of flexible remuneration. A new employee, for example, someone who is single and without a family, has different mobility needs than their colleague, who is married with two children and has their own home in the countryside or in the city. Now that this need is becoming stronger and more established, Arval is the ideal partner to provide companies with knowledge about mobility and take the burden off their hands. We enable employers to offer flexibility by taking care of the complexity associated with it."

Positive mindset

Mélignon expects the transition to electric mobility to continue in 2025: "When I look at corporate customers, I see that 80% of all new orders are electric. This is quite different from the private market, where we barely reach 20%. The electrification of the Belgian fleet is therefore mainly driven by companies. I see that the government has recently made some announcements and initiatives to slightly adjust and refine the federal mobility budget. In the coming months, more and more people may thus give up their company cars and opt for this adjusted budget instead. Arval can also be of service there, with a positive mindset and a lot of know-how, in our role as a 'full mobility provider'."

Tipping point

According to Mélignon, the shift to electric mobility, which the market has been anticipating for so long, will also have consequences for companies. Mélignon: "We expect to see many more affordable models in 2025. Electric vehicles will no longer be just for the lucky few. This benefits the private market, but it also gives companies more opportunities. In addition, I expect the price of cars with combustion engines to rise. We often receive this feedback from manufacturers. As a result of the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, which regulate their CO2 emissions, they will soon have to pay huge fines if they fail to meet these standards. It is therefore in their interest to steer the market towards electric cars. They will also adjust their production capacity accordingly: 'made to order' instead of holding large stocks will become the industry standard from next year."

The road ahead

On a final note, Arval expects the market to open up to smaller and medium-sized enterprises and individual clients in the near future. Mélignon: "We believe that the change in the market will mean that many companies, which currently still favour purchasing company cars or financial leasing, will switch to operational leasing. They will outsource the risk related to, for example, residual value to us. And that is where we can make a difference as the market leader: we see this as a scenario for the near future, for which we are already preparing."